Wagering On Baseball
in America.
Major League Baseball generates a
huge portion of the betting handle at Online
Sportsbooks. The wide variety of
wagering options available on baseball can be
overwhelming at first, but this article will
simplify the process. With a basic
understanding of the Baseball wagering
landscape, bettors can apply the knowledge to
any of the roughly 2,400 MLB games played each
season. All legal and regulated online
sportsbooks offer wagers on Major League
Baseball. As the summer is a relatively slow
period for the sports world, baseball is an
important offering for the industry between
the months of April & October.
BETTING ON THE BASEBALL MONEYLINE
Unlike football or basketball, the majority of
wagers placed on MLB games do not involve a
point spread. Instead, bettors typically wager
on the moneyline, looking to predict the
winner of the game straight-up. The betting
favorite will always have a “-” in front of
their moneyline odds, -150 for example. This
means that a bettor would have to wager $150
to realize a $100 profit on the winning
favorite. Underdogs typically have a “+” in
front of their moneyline odds, +130 for
instance. This means if the bettor places a
$100 wager on a winning underdog, they will
realize a $130 profit. Small-time bettors,
fear not – you needn’t risk $100 or more per
game. As a rule of thumb, simply drop the
zeroes at the end of those figures above if
you’re a $10 player to calculate payouts.
Underdogs tend to perform well in MLB
moneyline wagering. Betting exclusively on
favorites may seem attractive on paper, but
it’s often a losing strategy and a common
mistake made by novice bettors. It is also
important to know which players will be
playing when betting
on baseball moneylines. It is common for
starting pitchers to change, and understanding
platooning can also give you an advantage.
BETTING ON THE BASEBALL RUNLINE
The less-popular cousin of the moneyline
bet in baseball is the runline wager. Runlines
are baseball’s version of a point spread.
Because baseball observes far lower scoring
compared to other sports, the runline is
typically a mere1.5-run handicap . For
example, if the Boston Red Sox and New York
Yankees matched up with the Red Sox carrying a
-130 moneyline, they would have a runline in
the neighborhood of -1.5 runs at +190 odds. In
more lopsided matches, the runline can be as
high as 2.5. Sometimes bad teams can be great
bets because they keep games close. When
betting on baseball, several key factors must
be taken into account. The betting favorite
will be assigned a -1.5 run handicap, but
oddsmakers will offer an appropriate amount of
“juice” to make laying the 1.5 runs with the
favorite more appealing. In our hypothetical
favorite -150 and underdog +130 scenario, the
-150 favorite may be assigned runline odds
that look like this: -1.5 (+160). This means
if the favorite wins by two runs or more,
those who bet the favorite on the runline will
earn $160 for every $100 they risked. Runline
underdogs will be assigned a line that looks
something like this: +1.5 (-140). This means
that if the underdog wins outright or merely
loses by one run, bettors will earn $100 for
every $140 they risked.
Consider ALL of the following:
When sizing up the odds at your favorite
online sportsbook, pitching is the most
important variable.
The recent form of the starters: Head-to-head
results a pitcher has had vs. their opponent
Home/Away splits.
Hitting is another key area for baseball
betting . You might want to analyze
Offensive splits against Righties/Lefties.
Past head-to-head performances the lineup had
vs a pitcher.
Recent production: Baseball is very matchup
based, so considering how specific hitters in
the lineup have performed against both
starters and relievers is important, as is
their performance in recent days and how they
do against right-handers and left-handers.
Home vs. Away Statistics: As is
true in all sports, teams generally have
better home records than on the road (although
there are exceptions). Not all home-field
advantages are equal so weighing how important
it is to a particular team goes a long way
toward assessing a bet. Playing trends is
often a good idea. What is a team's record
during their last ten games? How many runs
have they been averaging over the last two
weeks? Is there a key difference between their
Home/Away results?
BETTING ON THE BASEBALL TOTALS
Totals wagers in baseball work just like
totals wagers in other sports. Oddsmakers will
assign an Over/Under figure to every game,
leaving bettors to determine whether the game
in question will be a home run derby or a
pitcher’s duel. Totals of 8.5 runs are typical
of MLB games, though totals as low as seven
runs and as high as 10 runs will pop up
throughout the season. Venue plays a huge part
in determining what the Over/Under will be for
each game, as well as starting pitching
matchups. Overs and Unders can carry a “vig”
as high as -120 and as low as even-money, but
are usually listed at -110 on both sides.
There's no better way to make America’s
national pastime i.e. "The Boys Of Summer"
game more enjoyable than by betting on
it.
G.M. Stowik
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